BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    



                                                                  AB 8
                                                                  Page  1

          Date of Hearing:   May 23, 2007

                        ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON APPROPRIATIONS
                                  Mark Leno, Chair

                      AB 8 (Nunez) - As Amended:  May 17, 2007 

          Policy Committee:                              Health Vote:12-5

          Urgency:     No                   State Mandated Local Program:  
          Yes    Reimbursable:              No

           SUMMARY
           
          This bill proposes major health care reforms, including an  
          expansion of the Medi-Cal and the Healthy Families Program  
          (HFP), creation of a statewide purchasing pool (the California  
          Health Insurance Purchasing Pool or Cal-CHIPP), significant  
          changes in the individual and group insurance markets, and  
          imposition of a medical loss ratio.   This bill imposes a  
          minimum spending requirement on specified employers equal to at  
          least 7.5% of Social Security payroll.  
           
          FISCAL EFFECT  

          The fiscal information presented in this analysis is based on  
          information provided by a micro simulation model of AB 8,  
          discussed further below. 

          1)Net annual GF savings of $380 million based on the following  
            costs and savings: 

             a)   Annual Cal-CHIPP costs of $7.4 billion. Costs are offset  
               by revenues in the California Health Trust Fund (Health  
               Fund) consisting of employer fees ($5 billion), employee  
               fees ($2.8 billion), and federal matching payments ($640  
               million) for low-income individuals eligible for public  
               coverage.  

             b)   Annual savings of $950 million ($370 million GF) to  
               Medi-Cal and HFP due to a net movement of individuals from  
               public programs. 

             c)   Annual increase of $1.8 billion ($880 million GF) to  
               provide premium assistance to low-income workers eligible  
               for public programs under the bill. 







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             d)   Annual reduced GF revenues of $110 million due to a  
               reduction of state personal income tax collections  
               associated with employee use of Section 125 plans. 

          2)Unknown annual administrative costs to the Managed Risk  
            Medical Insurance Board (MRMIB), the Employment Development  
            Department (EDD), local human services departments and other  
            public entities to provide administrative support pursuant to  
            the requirements of this bill.

           SUMMARY CONTINUED  :

          Specifically, this bill: 

          1)Expands Medi-Cal and HFP to low-income children and adults up  
            to 300% of the federal poverty limit (FPL).  

          2)Establishes an employer election to either:

             a)   Make health care expenditures equivalent to, at a  
               minimum, an amount equal to 7.5% of total Social Security  
               wages (capped at $97,500 in 2007),of both full-time (30  
               hours or more weekly) and part-time employees (less than 30  
               hours weekly), or, 

             b)   Pay an equivalent amount to the California Health Trust  
               Fund. 

          3)Exempts the following firms from the provisions of the bill: 

             a)   Firms with less than two workers;
             b)   Firms with annual payrolls of less than $100,000;
             c)   Firms established within the last three years.

          4)Establishes the Cal-CHIPP, to be administered by MRMIB.  
            Eligibility for Cal-CHIPP includes eligible employees whose  
            employers have elected to pay the fee rather than making the  
            specified level of health care expenditures.  

          5)Provides premium assistance to low-income working families (up  
            to 300% FPL) to increase affordability of health insurance if  
            available to them through their employment. 

          6)Enacts specified reforms in the individual and mid-size  
            private insurance markets, establishes a medical loss ratio  
            (MLR) for insurers, requires all employers to establish  
            Section 125 plans and requires specified activities related to  






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            health information technology, health and wellness, and cost  
            containment.

           COMMENTS  

           1)Rationale  . This bill enacts comprehensive health care reform,  
            including requiring insurance market reforms, expanding access  
            to public sponsored coverage, establishing the election for  
            employers regarding health expenditures, and addressing health  
            care cost containment strategies. Recent amendments since this  
            bill was heard in the Assembly Health Committee specify that  
            employers must make health care expenditures of at least 7.5%  
            of Social Security payroll or pay at least 7.5% of Social  
            Security payroll into the California Health Trust Fund.  The  
            amendments also make some modifications of the premium  
            assistance program for low-income workers.  

           2)Impact of Reforms  . This bill results in an increase of newly  
            insured Californians of 3.4 million, reducing the number of  
            the uninsured statewide by approximately 70%. About 80% of  
            those gaining access to health coverage under this bill are  
            adults. The reduction of the number of uninsured is  
            accomplished by a significant expansion of Medi-Cal and HFP,  
            an increase in state assistance for low-income workers  
            previously unable to afford coverage, and the minimum employer  
            spending level established by this bill. The following  
            movements of individuals result from provisions of this bill:   


             a)   800,000 individuals move from Medi-Cal and HFP to other  
               forms of health insurance. 
             b)   3.2 million individuals enroll in health coverage  
               through Cal-CHIPP.
             c)   1.5 million individuals enroll in private group health  
               insurance.
             d)   600,000 leave the individual health insurance market for  
               other forms of health insurance. 

           3)Economic Simulation Provides Impact and Fiscal Analysis . The  
            fiscal information presented in this analysis is based on  
            information provided by a micro simulation model created by  
            Jonathan Gruber, Ph.D., Professor of Economics at the  
            Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). Dr. Gruber, in  
            conjunction with other health economics and policy experts,  
            has modeled potential impacts of AB 8. The modeling combines  
            analytics and research about how individuals respond to  
            choices created by government changes. This approach is  






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            similar to approaches used by the federal Treasury Department  
            and the Congressional Budget Office. The model requires the  
            input of policy parameters (such as eligibility changes in  
            HFP) and provides outputs about the impacts on public costs,  
            individual behavior, firm behavior, and the distribution of  
            insurance coverage and costs. 

           4)Related Legislation  . 

             a)   SB 48 (Perata), pending in the Senate Appropriations  
               Committee, proposes a major expansion of health coverage  
               and contains many similar provisions to AB 8, including  
               public program expansion, establishing an employer election  
               related to health spending, the creation of a statewide  
               purchasing pool, and insurance market reforms. 

             b)   The governor's health care reform proposal, which is not  
               in bill form, contains similar provisions to AB 8 and SB 48  
               with regards to a minimum employer spending election,  
               public program expansions, and subsidization of low-income  
               workers.  In addition, the governor's plan provides a $4  
               billion (all funds) Medi-Cal rate increase to specified  
               physicians and hospitals, imposes a fee on physicians and  
               hospitals, and establishes a 4% minimum spending  
               requirement for employers with 10 or more full time  
               employees. 

             c)   SB 840 (Kuehl), pending in the Senate Appropriations  
               Committee, establishes a state-administered single-payer  
               system to provide coverage to all Californians, without  
               regard to income or employment status. SB 840 would be  
               funded by financing as specified in SB 1014 (Kuehl),  
               pending in the Senate, which imposes a payroll tax on  
               employers and employees for the purpose of funding a  
               single-payer health care system.

             d)   AB 1 (Laird), pending on the Suspense File of this  
               committee, and SB 32 (Steinberg), pending on the Suspense  
               File of the Senate Appropriations Committee, are similar to  
               one another and provide universal health access for all  
               children in California through expansions of Medi-Cal and  
               HFP.  

             e)   AB 2 (Dymally), pending on the Suspense File of this  
               committee, reforms and restructures the Managed Risk  
               Medical Insurance Program (MRMIP), California's high risk  
               pool, administered by MRMIB. AB 8 addresses some of the  






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               issues addressed by AB 2 in relation to individuals with  
               specified high-cost health conditions. 
              
             Analysis Prepared by  :    Mary Ader / APPR. / (916) 319-2081